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Demand spike detectedVelocity is up 64%. Potential revenue loss of $363,000.
Recommended action: Adjust the September 1 PO release from 42,000 to 34,500 units, with an optional second release of 7,500.
The current plan creates excess inventory in 61% of simulated outcomes.
The revised plan cuts expected excess inventory by $126,000 while maintaining a 92% in-stock probability.
Hi BrightPack team,
Please find our approved PO adjustment attached. The September 1 release is revised from 42,000 to 34,500 Hydrating Serum units, with an optional second release of 7,500 units. Delivery is requested on September 1 to our Northeast warehouse.
Please confirm receipt, production capacity, and the committed ship date within one business day.
Thank you,
SuperGlow Supply Planning
Purchase order sentApproved and sent to BrightPack Components
Hi team, we need to update PO order # PO-7718 for the aluminum tray used in the eye shadow palette.
The anodizing line is blocked by an upstream material shortage. The tray shipment will delay for 12 days, moving the earliest pickup from Jul 18 to Jul 30.
Thanks for your understanding, and we will keep you updated if the production window changes again.
| PO | Item | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| PO-7718 | Aluminum Tray | +12d |
| SKU-ESP-214 | Eye Shadow Palette | Assessing |
| Shade 02 · SKU-C02 | Jul 6 | Jul 13 | Jul 20 | Jul 27 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overview | |||||
| Coverage · days | 58 | 40 | 38 | 24 | |
| Inventory · units | 9,122 | 7,772 | 6,552 | 5,072 | |
| Demand · units | 1,100 | 1,350 | 1,220 | 1,480 | |
| Incoming supply | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| By Channel | |||||
| ▸TikTok Shop | 18 | 12 | 15 | 8 | |
Inventory · units | 1,556 | 951 | 280 | 1,066 | |
Demand · units | 605 | 742 | 671 | 814 | |
Incoming transfer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,600 | |
Incoming supply | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| ▸DTC | 140 | 125 | 138 | 115 | |
Inventory · units | 3,200 | 3,090 | 2,955 | 2,007 | |
Demand · units | 110 | 135 | 122 | 148 | |
Incoming transfer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -800 | |
Incoming supply | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| ▸Amazon | 92 | 80 | 90 | 68 | |
Inventory · units | 1,916 | 1,696 | 1,426 | 1,130 | |
Demand · units | 220 | 270 | 244 | 296 | |
Incoming transfer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Incoming supply | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| ▸Walmart | 105 | 90 | 100 | 78 | |
Inventory · units | 2,450 | 2,035 | 1,891 | 1,669 | |
Demand · units | 165 | 202 | 183 | 222 | |
Incoming transfer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Incoming supply | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| By Warehouse | |||||
| ▸WH1 · Northeast | 18 | 12 | 33 | 13 | |
Inventory · units | 1,800 | 1,180 | 2,260 | 1,460 | |
Demand · units | 620 | 720 | 700 | 800 | |
Incoming transfer | 0 | 0 | 1,800 | 0 | |
Incoming supply | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| ▸WH2 · West | 70 | 62 | 58 | 51 | |
Inventory · units | 3,322 | 2,992 | 2,672 | 2,352 | |
Demand · units | 330 | 320 | 320 | 320 | |
Incoming transfer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Incoming supply | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| ▸WH3 · Central | 118 | 105 | 72 | 58 | |
Inventory · units | 4,000 | 3,600 | 1,620 | 1,260 | |
Demand · units | 400 | 410 | 360 | 360 | |
Incoming transfer | 0 | 0 | -1,800 | 0 | |
Incoming supply | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Pacific Freight Forwarding |
Meridian Ocean Cargo |
Horizon Air Cargo |
Coperon Solution
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freight rate | $450 + $1.90/kg ↘ 10% |
$500 + $2.10/kg reference |
$250 + $4.50/kg ↗ 114% |
300 kg air + 2,100 kg ocean |
| Total cost (2,400 kg) | $5,010 ↘ 10% |
$5,540 reference |
$11,050 ↗ 100% |
$6,040 Save $5,010 |
| Transit time | 24d reference |
19d -5d |
4d -20d |
4d + 24d |
| Payment terms | Net 30
no upfront
reference
|
50% deposit / Net 15
upfront pmt
-15d vs Net 30
|
100% upfront
full upfront
|
100% prepaid + Net 30 |
| Tariff / recovery | BAF quarterly variable |
Surcharge locked 90d protected |
Fuel surcharge included protected |
Mixed coverage |
| Coperon System Record | ||||
| On-time rate (12mo) | 91% | 96% +5pt |
98% +7pt |
~92% |
| Avg response time | 7h | 3h -4h |
2h fastest |
~6h |
| Rate stability (12mo) | ±2% | ±3% | ±12% volatile |
±2-12% |
Returns 2.4× above normal on Hydrating Serum Duo
Returns & Refunds$31K contribution margin loss identified
Pacific Freight Forwarding raised freight cost by 22%
Freight & LogisticsPotential savings identified with alternate carrier
Glow Ritual Trio dropped to margin floor
Discounts & PromotionsPre-marketing contribution margin fell to 30%
| Supplier | Missing documents | Status |
|---|---|---|
| BrightPack Components | Assessing | |
| Velvet Labs Manufacturing | Assessing | |
| Aurora BioLabs | Assessing | |
| Keystone Print | Assessing |
Start with sample data, uploaded files, or limited read-only access before connecting live systems.
AI can recommend and prepare actions, but consequential updates follow the approval rules your team sets.
Review the source data, reasoning, approval, and result behind every recommendation.
Coperon is built for sensitive supply chain decisions, where teams need both data protection and control over AI-driven actions.
Schedule a callLegacy systems keep records clean, but the messy realities don’t fit into fixed fields. Generic AI tools can summarize documents, but they struggle to reason across inconsistencies. Let’s discuss how Coperon turns fragmented procurement reality into secure, governed AI workflows your team can trust.
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